Monthly Archives: September 2018

The market for adipic acid continues to fall, and there is still room for decline in the market (9.17-21)

First, the price trend

According to the data of the business community’s big list, this week, the domestic market for adipic acid continued to fall and fall. The dealers’ quotations gradually lowered their prices. This week’s decline was 0.16%. At the beginning of the week, the average foreign exchange price of adipic acid was 10,600 yuan/ton. Left and right, the weekend fell to 10,500 yuan / ton.

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Second, analysis and review

This week, the domestic adipic acid market continued its downward trend last week, and continued to fall mainly. The listing price of the manufacturers remained stable, but the inventory pressure gradually appeared, and the dealers’ quotations continued to loose, ranging from 100-200 yuan/ Up and down, the market price generally fell, the North China, East China, South China dealers offer down 200-300 yuan / ton, dealer inventory still showed some pressure, shipments also maintained a low level, the firm still There is a certain amount of room for discussion. In terms of supply and demand, the supply is relatively stable, the inventory of the manufacturers remains at the median level, and the dealers have sufficient supply. In terms of demand, downstream demand has not changed much, and demand growth has been relatively weak. The operating rate of PA66 manufacturers has remained low, and the operating rate is basically 5-6%. The upstream adipic acid has not formed a strong boost, and the market is still destocking. Cycle, some dealers have less supply, but also avoid market risks, because dealers’ profits are obviously compressed, and only low-cost shipments can alleviate certain pressures. As of now, the reference price of Shandong supply market is 10400-10600 yuan/ton. The general price in South China is 10,500-10,700 yuan / ton.

Third, the market outlook

The analysis of adipic acid analysts in the chemical industry branch of the business community believes that there is currently no strong factor. The upstream pure benzene is exhausted, and the supply and demand are not well supported. The market price still has room to continue to be explored. The dealer shipments have not improved, maintaining the previous level. The market is still in the inventory cycle, the manufacturers supply is sufficient, but the contradiction between supply and demand has not improved much, so there is still room for exploration in the later adipic acid market.

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The domestic DME market has widely increased this week (9.10-9.14)

First, the price trend

This week, the domestic DME market rose broadly. At the beginning of the week, the average domestic market price of DME was 4,793.75 yuan/ton, and the average weekend price was 4967.5 yuan/ton. The weekly increase was 3.62%, and the price increased by 29.17% compared with the same period of last year.

Second, the market analysis

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Products: This week, the market for dimethyl ether is wide and the overall market atmosphere is good. Hebei Yutai dimethyl ether plant was shut down for maintenance on September 13 and has not been opened yet. Henan Lankao Huitong drove to resume the offer on June 16. As of September 14, Henan Lancao Huitong dimethyl ether ex-factory price was 4,600 yuan / ton, Henan Yima Xinyuan dimethyl ether ex-factory price was 4,670 yuan / ton, Hebei Hunchun Chemical Co., Ltd. dimethyl ether ex-factory price was 4,870 yuan / ton The ex-factory price of DME of Shengdeyuan Company of Shandong Dezhou is 4,800 yuan/ton, and the ex-factory price of dimethyl ether of Shanxi Orchid Technology Technology Co., Ltd. is 4,600 yuan/ton.

Industry chain: This week, the domestic methanol market remained at a high level, and the supply side was tight and supported. The main producing areas in the northwest region continued to rise. Although the domestic methanol market has been actively rising, the downstream regions have gradually resisted the high prices. The receipt of goods is still cautious, just need to purchase, the market transactions are general, domestic methanol continues to push up or blocked. This week, the domestic LPG market has risen steadily and the market atmosphere is good. At the beginning of the week, the international crude oil price rose, which was positive for the market and the overall shipment was smooth. In the later period, the international crude oil retreated in a wide range, and the bearish industry mentality, but under the support of low stocks, there was still a slight increase. This week, the dimethyl ether market continued to rise and the market was trading smoothly. At the beginning of the week, the raw material methanol market was wide, driving the downstream mentality, actively entering the market, and the market demand was again improving. In addition to the traditional sales season, the manufacturers’ mentality is firm, the stocks are pressureless, and the quotations are rising.

Industry: According to the price monitoring of the business community, in the 37th week of 2018 (9.10-9.14), there were 13 kinds of commodities in the energy sector that rose in the energy sector. Among them, one of the products with a price increase of more than 5%, accounting for the sector. The number of commodities monitored was 6.3%; the top 3 commodities were LNG (6.67%), fuel oil (3.73%) and dimethyl ether (3.62%). There were 2 kinds of commodities with a decrease in the chain ratio, and the top 2 products were coke (-2.19%) and petroleum coke (-2.07%). This week’s average price increase was 1.44%.

Third, the market outlook

The dimethyl ether analyst of the business community believes that the raw material methanol market is expected to be rationally narrowed downward next week, and the liquefied gas market is expected to stabilize. On the demand side, market demand is improving this week and is expected to decline next week. At present, in the traditional sales season, the manufacturers’ mentality is firm, and the downstream has a bullish mentality for the market. It is expected that there will still be room for growth in the market.

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The market for hydrofluoric acid rose slightly this week (9.3-9.7)

According to the monitoring data of the business community, the price of hydrofluoric acid in China has increased slightly this week. The current price is 10893.33 yuan/ton, which is 0.02% higher than the price of 10891.67 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week and up 39.33% year-on-year.

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Products: According to statistics, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market has risen slightly, and the domestic hydrofluoric acid operating rate is around 60%. The company reflects that the current supply of hydrofluoric acid in the market is normal, and the recent market is generally in the market. The ex-factory price has risen slightly. As of now, the mainstream of hydrofluoric acid in the southern region is about 10,500-11,000 yuan/ton, and the price of hydrofluoric acid in the northern market is 11,000-11,500 yuan/ton. The domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid is slightly higher, and the supply of spot goods is normal. However, due to the recent high level of raw material market, coupled with the recent renewal of refrigerants in developed countries, China’s new refrigerant exports are improving, which is good for the domestic market. The price of hydrofluoric acid products has It has risen, but the increase has not been large.

Industry chain: The price of fluorite in the upstream of hydrofluoric acid is stable this week. The fluorite ex-factory price is 2,680 yuan/ton by the end of the week. The fluorite installation in the field is stable, the supply of fluorite in the field is normal, and the price of fluorite remains high. The price of fluorite in Inner Mongolia is 2600-2700 yuan/ton, the mainstream of fluorite in Fujian is 2600-2700 yuan/ton, the price of fluorite in Jiangxi is 2600-2700 yuan/ton, and the price of fluorite in Henan is 2600-2700. Yuan/ton, the domestic fluorite price remained high, and the high raw material price is undoubtedly a big advantage for the market price of hydrofluoric acid. The market price of hydrofluoric acid rose slightly. The price of some refrigerants in downstream refrigerants has increased, which has a certain positive impact on upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid. Recently, the downstream refrigerant market in the terminal has not fluctuated as a whole, and the R32 refrigerant unit starts at 80% due to downstream refrigerant products. Exports have increased, which has brought about a big positive for domestic new refrigerants, and the market price of hydrofluoric acid has risen slightly.

Industry: Recently, the supply of raw materials for fluorite and hydrofluoric acid in the upstream market is normal, the trading situation in the downstream refrigeration industry is normal, and the market for fluorine chemical industry is fluctuating.

Due to the recent stable operation of the hydrofluoric acid plant, the spot supply of hydrofluoric acid is normal, the price of upstream fluorite remains at a high level, and the export market of the downstream refrigerant industry is improving. The business hydrofluoric acid analyst Chen Ling believes that the hydrofluoric acid market may be high. Shock, the price of hydrofluoric acid will be around 11,000 yuan / ton.

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On September 6th, the domestic BDO market is weak and difficult to change.

First, the price trend

The domestic BDO market is weak and difficult to change. According to the sample data monitored by the business community, as of September 6, the domestic BDO market average price was 11,400 yuan / ton, and the price rose by 3.23%.

Second, the market analysis

Product: The domestic BDO market is difficult to change. The supply is relatively stable, while the downstream demand continues to be poor. The middlemen have insufficient confidence in the market outlook and negotiated shipments. The market is on the sidelines, and some manufacturers have narrowed their offer. In terms of price, the mainstream offer in East China and North China is 11,000-11300 yuan/ton, the actual unit price is 10700-11000 yuan/ton, and the barrel price is 11800-12000 yuan/ton. South China offers 11,000-11300 yuan / ton, the actual unit price is 10700-11100 yuan / ton, the barrel price is 11800-12100 yuan / ton.

In terms of the market, the BDO market in North China is difficult to change. The factory price is low, coupled with the impact of environmental protection, just need to be weak, the industry is not confident about the market outlook to negotiate shipments, but the downstream follow-up lack. The BDO market in East China is weakly organized. Due to the large inventory of the factory and the lack of follow-up in the downstream, the industry’s mentality is loose, and more favorable traders are talking about the goods, and the market is weak. The BDO market in South China is weak. Due to the continued poor demand, the middlemen negotiated to ship more, and the prices were negotiated at a low price

Industry chain: In the upstream area, the calcium carbide market in Henan Province is mainly stable. The price of the local first-class calcium carbide is 3390-3520 yuan/ton. The individual enterprises are insufficiently stocked and the wait-and-see atmosphere is strong. The overall analysis is expected to stabilize the calcium carbide market.

Third, the market outlook

On the positive side, upstream calcium carbide has an upside expectation; downstream PBT orders are good. For the bearish side, it is just the need for trading; the downstream is under-employed and the production and sales are sluggish. Business BDO analysts predict that the current situation, the market is difficult to save good news, the BDO market is still weak in the short term.

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In August, the market for DME was first raised and then declined. Overall, prices have risen.

First, the price trend

In August, the domestic DME market rose first and then declined, and the overall increase. At the beginning of the month, the average domestic market price of DME was 4357.5 yuan/ton, and the average price at the end of the month was 4647.5 yuan/ton. The monthly increase was 6.66%, and the price increased by 28.86% compared with the same period of last year.

Second, the market analysis

Product: The market for DME in August rose. The operating rate this month is still not high. Hebei Yutai and other manufacturers currently do not offer parking, Henan Lankao Huitong on June 16 driving quote. As of August 31, Henan Lancao Huitong dimethyl ether ex-factory price was 4270 yuan / ton, Henan Yima Xinyuan dimethyl ether ex-factory price was 4180 yuan / ton, Hebei Hunchun Chemical Co., Ltd. dimethyl ether ex-factory price was 4490 yuan / ton The ex-factory price of DME of Shengdeyuan Company of Shandong Dezhou is 4,400 yuan/ton, and the ex-factory price of dimethyl ether of Shanxi Orchid Technology Technology Co., Ltd. is 4,080 yuan/ton.

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In the industrial chain: the methanol market in August fluctuated upward. According to the price monitoring of the business community, the price of methanol at the beginning of the month was 2,797 yuan/ton, and the price of methanol at the end of the month was 3,023 yuan/ton. The monthly increase was 8.09%, and the price increased by 15.76% compared with the same period of last year. In August, the domestic LPG market price trend was firm. At the beginning of the month, the average price of domestic LPG market was 4,415.62 yuan / ton, the average price at the end of the month was 4,618.88 yuan / ton, the monthly increase was 7.84%, and the price was 30.78% higher than the same period of last year. In August, the raw material methanol market continued to consolidate at a high level. Although the price difference between gas and ether was slightly narrower than that of the previous period, it remained at the level of 800-900 yuan/ton. Under the favorable support of methanol and liquefied gas market, the beginning of the month The ether market has risen all the way, but as prices continue to rise, the downstream is in conflict with high prices, and the downstream inventory is becoming saturated. Under the pressure of inventory and sales, manufacturers have withdrawn from the market and watched the atmosphere, resulting in lower prices. In the later period, due to the parking of individual manufacturers, the market supply decreased, and the downstream market entered the market cautiously under the controllable inventory, and the market price stabilized.

Industry: In August 2018, there were 15 kinds of commodities in the energy sector, which rose by more than 5%, among which 11 products were increased by more than 5%, accounting for 68.8% of the monitored products in the sector; They were coke (26.52%), fuel oil (13.54%) and petroleum coke (12.63%). There was one product with a decrease in the chain ratio, and the product that fell was LNG (-11.93%). This month’s average price increase and decrease was 6.83%.

Third, the market outlook

The dimethyl ether analyst of the business community believes that the current high level of raw material methanol has a certain support for the dimethyl ether market. In addition, the weather is gradually getting colder and the market demand has increased. It is expected that there will be little room for dimethyl ether to fall.

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