Spot price: according to the price monitoring of business society, the quotation of domestic staple fiber on April 29 was 6893 yuan, down 1.43% from last week.

Futures market: on April 29, the futures price of pf2107 contract closed at 7238, up 2.81% from the previous trading day, and the settlement price was 7164 yuan; The turnover was 218462; Position for 95461 hands, basis – 345. Domestic polyester industry chain futures closed higher today, with PTA up 1.20% and ethylene glycol up 1.10%.

Analysis: the international oil price rises in shock, polyester chain PTA has a big rebound in the past week, staple fiber has a small rebound, and ethylene glycol has a stable trend. After PTA fell last week, it rebounded strongly this week due to the reduction of overhaul supply of large factories. Ethylene glycol recovered this week after a weak decline last week. After the price of staple fiber fell sharply in March, downstream mills and trade middlemen actively filled their positions at a low level. Coupled with the sharp rise of crude oil in early April, staple fiber rebounded slightly in early April. However, there is still no obvious improvement in downstream orders, with strong wait-and-see sentiment and weak buying. Short fiber futures rebounded today, spot stability.

Forecast: in the future, the international oil price will fluctuate upward, there will be demand for replenishment in the downstream before the festival, and the short-term polyester staple fiber will rebound. In the medium term, the textile industry is affected by the expected return of Indian orders, and polyester staple fiber may stabilize and rebound when crude oil is stable, but it is also limited by the coming of the traditional off-season of the textile industry.

In April, the price of aluminum fluoride fluctuated and adjusted, and the overall aluminum fluoride market was basically stable. According to the data of business news agency, the domestic price of aluminum fluoride was 8966.67 yuan / ton on April 28. Due to the adjustment of sample enterprises in April, the quotation of aluminum fluoride rose slightly, but the overall price of aluminum fluoride was flat compared with that at the beginning of the month.

Rise and fall chart of aluminum fluoride industry chain

According to the monitoring of business news agency, the price of hydrofluoric acid dropped slightly in April, while the price of aluminum fluctuated and rose. On the whole, the market of aluminum fluoride industry chain in April was good and bad. The decline of upstream hydrofluoric acid and fluorite market is bad for aluminum fluoride Market. Affected by the Indian epidemic, electrolytic aluminum market rises, which is good for aluminum fluoride Market.

Analysts of aluminum fluoride industry in business news agency believe that: the prices of fluorite and hydrofluoric acid in the upper reaches have dropped slightly, the prices of aluminum fluoride raw materials have fluctuated and fallen, and the raw material fundamentals of aluminum fluoride market have not been stimulated enough. Affected by the Indian epidemic, the global electrolytic aluminum market has risen, and the aluminum price is expected to rise in the future, which is good for the aluminum fluoride Market. Generally speaking, the cost and price of aluminum fluoride have declined, The aluminum fluoride market is bad, but the electrolytic aluminum market is expected to rise in the future, or there is support for the rise of aluminum fluoride, and the domestic aluminum fluoride price is strong and stable in the future.

1、 Price trend of propylene oxide

(Figure: p-value curve of propylene oxide product)

2、 Market analysis

Propylene oxide market rose slightly this week. According to the data of the business club’s block list, as of April 25, the average quotation price of propylene oxide enterprises was 18566.67 yuan / ton, up 1.83% compared with the beginning of the week, up 1.46% compared with April 1, and down 7.63% compared with March 25.

This week, the market price of propylene oxide stabilized first and then rose. At the beginning of the week, the market was sorted out by game, mainly by wait-and-see. The market was stable. With the decline of factory inventory, the downstream polyether orders improved, driving the market price up in a narrow range. The propylene oxide manufacturers had no pressure, and the downstream just needed to follow up and stabilize, supporting the continuous price rise. On the 25th, the mainstream price of propylene oxide Market in Shandong was around 18300-18500 yuan / ton, and that in East China was around 18500-18700 yuan / ton.

Upstream propylene, as of April 25, Shandong propylene market prices continue to be stable. According to the price chart of the business association, the price of propylene decreased sharply in the second half of March and rose at the end of the month. At the beginning of April, the market price rose slowly, with an average daily increase of about 50 yuan / ton. From the 6th, the price rose steadily, from the 16th, the price rose steadily at the rate of 50 yuan / ton, and from the 23rd, it became stable. Now, the market transaction is between 8600 yuan / ton and 8700 yuan / ton, and the mainstream price is about 8600 yuan / ton.

Downstream propylene glycol, according to the monitoring data of the business community, as of April 23, the factory price of domestic industrial grade propylene glycol was 18100 yuan / ton, up 0.56% compared with the price at the beginning of the week; On April 25, the market of soft foam polyether in Shandong Province was temporarily stable, the gas purchase of downstream enterprises was weakened, and the factory offer was stable. On April 25, the mainstream quotation of common soft foam polyether in Shandong Province was around 18000-18300 yuan / ton.

3、 Future forecast

Business community propylene oxide analysts believe that although the current performance of the downstream new single is general, but the purchase of propylene oxide is relatively stable. It is expected that in the short term, manufacturers will support the strong operation of the propylene oxide market without pressure, and the specific trend still needs to pay attention to the market information guidance.

According to the monitoring data of the business agency, as of April 26, the average ex factory price of n-butanol in Shandong Province was 12900 yuan / ton, which was 334 yuan / ton higher than that on April 19 (12566 yuan / ton), an increase of 2.65%; Compared with the price on April 7 (reference average price of n-butanol 10500 yuan / ton), the average price increased by 2400 yuan / ton, or 22.86%. Compared with the price on April 1 (the reference average price of n-butanol was 11000 yuan / ton), the average price increased by 1800 yuan / ton, or 17.27%.

After the Qingming Festival in April, the price of n-butanol in the domestic market rose sharply. On the 20th, the ex factory price of n-butanol in Shandong rose to 12500-12800 yuan / ton, which was 2000-2500 yuan / ton higher than that on the 7th, with an increase of 20%.

Near the end of the month, the domestic n-butanol market continued to move closer

Then in late April, on the 21st, the factory price of n-butanol decreased slightly. Because some downstream users resisted the high price raw materials, n-butanol dealers took the initiative to ship. The market negotiation price was relaxed, and the atmosphere of the new single stage was flat. Some n-butanol factories in Shandong reduced the factory price of n-butanol by 200 yuan / ton, but the overall inventory position of n-butanol factory was tight, After a short period of downward trend, the prices of some n-butanol factories recovered slightly. On the 23rd and 24th, the n-butanol market was stable as a whole. On the 26th, the trading atmosphere of n-butanol market was improved, the manufacturers’ spot supply was tight, and the ex factory price of n-butanol was increased by 100-500 yuan / ton, The factory quotation of n-butanol in Shandong is around 12700-13000 yuan / ton. By the end of the 26th, the average ex factory price of n-butanol in Shandong Province was 12900 yuan / ton, up 334 yuan / ton, or 2.65% compared with that on the 19th, and 1900 yuan / ton, or 17.27% compared with that on the 1st of the month.

Upstream, April 25, Shandong propylene market prices were stable. According to the price chart of the business association, the price of propylene decreased sharply in the second half of March and rose at the end of the month. At the beginning of April, the market price rose slowly, with an average daily increase of about 50 yuan / ton. From the 6th, the price rose steadily, and from the 16th, the price rose steadily at the rate of 50 yuan / ton. Today, it finally stabilized. Now, the market transaction is between 8600 yuan / ton and 8700 yuan / ton, and the mainstream price is about 8600 yuan / ton. On April 20, the external market of propylene in the United States dropped significantly again, which may have a certain impact on the domestic market. Propylene prices in Asia have been rising slightly recently, which has little impact on the propylene market. Propylene market is now no pressure inventory, part of the device is still in repair. The supply of goods in Shandong is a little tight.

Before the festival, the n-butanol market will continue to run at a high level

At present, the downstream good stock gives n-butanol industry confidence, most of the n-butanol factory spot inventory tension. It is expected that the n-butanol market will continue to run at a high level before the festival. More attention should be paid to the changes in raw materials and demand.

According to the monitoring of the business club, the average market price at the beginning of the week was 1490 yuan / ton, and that at the end of the week was 1513.33 yuan / ton, up 1.53%, 7.2% over the same period last year. This week coking coal prices strong market operation.

On April 24, the coking coal commodity index was 111.68, unchanged from yesterday, down 8.10% from 121.53 (March 12, 2019), the highest point in the cycle, and up 148.68% from 44.91, the lowest point on January 28, 2016（ Note: period refers to the period from September 1, 2012 to now

According to the business community, on the supply side, affected by the environmental inspection, the operating rate of coal enterprises declined compared with the previous period, and the overall coal supply was relatively tight, especially at the end of the month, the coal management ticket was even more tight. And in terms of import, the quantity of Mongolian coal remains relatively low, and the overall supply of coking coal is tight.

Demand: the coke market is mainly in strong operation, the sales of coking enterprises have improved recently, and the inventory is on the low side. With the implementation of backward production capacity elimination strengthened, the future supply in Shanxi and Hebei will be tightened to a certain extent, and most coking enterprises are expected to be bullish. The downstream steel plants have a certain willingness to replenish the storage, and the coke inventory is low as a whole. After the implementation of the first round of coke price increase, some coke enterprises raised the second round of coke price increase, the mood of coke enterprises turned better, and their enthusiasm for raw coal replenishment increased significantly.

According to coking coal analysts of business society, affected by environmental protection inspection, the operating rate of coal enterprises has declined compared with the previous period, and the overall coal supply is relatively tight, especially at the end of the month, the coal management ticket is more tense. And in terms of import, the quantity of Mongolian coal remains relatively low, and the overall supply of coking coal is tight. In terms of downstream coke: the downstream coke enterprises have raised the price of coke for the second round, and the coke enterprises have a good start enthusiasm. The price of coke is stable and running well. There is a demand for coking coal to supplement the storage, and the coking coal is supported by the demand side. Generally speaking, the short-term operation of coking coal is relatively strong, and the downstream market demand is specific.

According to the data monitoring of business news agency, the price of trichloromethane was firm this week (4.19-4.23), and it was stable at 4100 yuan / ton on Wednesday.

This week, the methane chloride plant in Shandong Province was slightly improved. According to the business news agency, Jinling Dongying unit has completed full load operation after maintenance, Dongyue methane chloride unit has completed normal operation after maintenance, Jinmao methane chloride unit is under shutdown, and about 90% of the units in Luxi are under construction.

Although the price of methanol rose slightly, the price of liquid chlorine fell sharply, and the cost was mainly negative. According to the business news agency, as of April 23, the price of methanol was 2510 yuan / ton, up 2.87% from 2440 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week; As of April 23, the mainstream ex factory price of liquid chlorine for tank cars in Shandong Province was about 1400 yuan / ton, down 26.3% from 1900 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week.

Finally, foreign trade orders of downstream refrigerants were stable this week, domestic trade started to improve, and demand for trichloromethane was mainly supported by rigid support. It is understood that at present, Dongyue fluorosilicone company is operating at full capacity.

According to the methane chloride data of business news agency, although the raw material price is falling and the cost is obviously bad, the inventory pressure of trichloromethane production enterprises in Shandong is not big, and the downstream refrigerant still has just need to support, so it is expected that the price of trichloromethane will remain stable in the short term.

Trade name: urea

Latest price (April 22): 2153.33 yuan / ton

Spot price: according to the price monitoring of business association, the average ex factory price of urea in Shandong on April 22 was 2153.33 yuan, up 0.15% from yesterday’s quotation.

Futures market: on April 22, ur2107 closed at 2097, up 2.89% from the previous trading day, with a settlement price of 2085; The position is 100800.

Analysis: the upstream liquid ammonia market has a rising trend recently, and the cost support is good. In the aspect of demand, agricultural demand is mainly sporadic procurement; The start-up load of downstream compound fertilizer and rubber sheet plants increased slightly, and most of them followed the market. Supply side: at present, urea plant maintenance, supply side tightening. The operating rate of urea enterprises is about 70%, which has decreased, and the daily output has dropped to below 150000 tons.

Forecast: in the future, urea supply is slightly insufficient, but demand is rising. It is expected that the short-term urea market will rise slightly, and the average price quoted by manufacturers will be about 2170 yuan / ton.

Recently, the domestic ethanol market has been declining continuously, and the market performance of different regions is slightly different. According to the sample data monitored by the business agency, as of April 21, the domestic ethanol market price was 6700 yuan / ton, with a month on month drop of 7.59% and a year-on-year rise of 25.23%.

In terms of domestic ethanol market, northeast and Henan ethanol markets are stable; East China ethanol market is down; Dongguan ethanol market is weak; Guangxi ethanol market is weak; Sichuan ethanol market is weak.

From the perspective of raw materials, corn prices continue to fluctuate. The supply of corn in the main production areas of China is increasing again, the rising trend of corn price is slowing down, and there are signs of small price drop in some areas, and some grain holders are still resistant to the price reduction. From the demand point of view, the domestic ethyl acetate Market rose regionally, the overall price of raw materials was high, and the offer price remained high and firm under the cost pressure of ethyl acetate manufacturers. For the downstream side, the rising trend of ethyl acetate was mainly based on rigid demand, and all aspects of the market were favorable, so the ethyl acetate Market remained high and strong.

Latest price trends of ethanol market in different regions:

Region, category, price

Shandong Province: 6600 yuan / ton

In Shandong Province, the price of “excellent corn” is 7300-7500 yuan / ton

In Shandong Province, < 7450 yuan / ton

Jiangsu Province: 6700-6750 yuan / ton

In Northern Jiangsu Province, the average price is 6650 yuan / ton

In Anhui Province, the average corn yield is about 7150-7200 yuan / ton

About 6600-6700 yuan / ton of cassava in Anhui Province

In Anhui Province, the price is about 7750-7750 yuan / ton

About 7800-7900 yuan / ton of corn alcohol in Sichuan

About 6900 yuan / ton of molasses alcohol in Yunnan

About 6900 yuan / ton of cassava alcohol in Yunnan

Henan Province: 6800-6850 yuan / ton, including tax

Anhydrous ethanol in Henan Province: 7550-7650 yuan / ton, tax included

Hebei Province: 7450-7500 yuan / ton

Hebei Province: 8100-8150 yuan / ton

Heilongjiang area ﹣ corn alcohol general grade ﹣ 6300-6400 yuan / ton, tax included

Jilin Province ﹣ 6650 yuan / ton of ordinary alcohol, tax included

In Guangxi, the price of honey alcohol is 7150-7200 yuan / ton

Cassava alcohol in Guangxi is 6700-6950 yuan / ton

Guangxi region: 7500-7600 yuan / ton of anhydrous ethanol

About 7150-7200 yuan / ton of cassava alcohol in Guangdong

About 7600-7800 yuan / ton of anhydrous cassava ethanol in Guangdong

Corn price consolidation operation, in the short run, there is no possibility of downstream demand recovery, market supply and demand imbalance, business community ethanol analysts expect that in the short run, corn ethanol weak consolidation.

1、 Price trend

2、 Market analysis

According to the data of business news agency, the domestic potassium sulfate Market was stable after rising in mid April. As of April 20, the average price of domestic potassium sulfate 50 particle samples was 2966.67 yuan / ton, an increase of 1.71% compared with the average price at the beginning of the month, and an increase of 5.01% compared with the same period last year.

In the first ten days of the market, the price of potassium sulfate rose again on the basis of last month’s rise. The load level of domestic potassium sulfate Mannheim unit decreased slightly in the middle of the middle of the year, but the overall change was not obvious. On April 20, the factory reference price of 52% potassium sulfate powder of Shijiazhuang hehe Chemical Co., Ltd. was 3050 yuan / ton. Shijiazhuang Haofang chemical 50% potassium sulfate powder factory reference price of 2950 yuan / ton. At present, domestic manufacturers have more early orders, and delivery operations tend to meet the early orders. On the cost side, the actual transaction of potassium chloride Market in the near future is not good, the improvement of market oversupply pattern is limited, and the trading atmosphere is cold. However, the overall inventory is on the low side, the price position remains high and stable, the support for potassium sulfate is acceptable, and the external market has also risen recently.

3、 Future forecast

Potassium sulfate analysts of business news agency think: in mid April, the price of potassium chloride and potassium nitrate was stable, and the cost of domestic potassium sulfate was under great pressure. At the same time, the cost side and the price rise of large import contracts act on the market at the same time. The producers and traders support the price offer, and the spot price rise gradually slows down. The market fundamentals are generally stable, and it is expected that the domestic potassium sulfate price increase may narrow in the near future.

On April 19, 2021, in the price rise and fall list of fluorine chemical industry, there were 1 commodity that rose, 2 commodities that fell, and 4 commodities that rose or fell to 0. Rising commodities include chloroform; falling products include fluorite and R22; stable products include hydrofluoric acid, aluminum fluoride, R134a and cryolite.

On April 19, the prices of some fluorite chemical raw materials in the market declined. The price of fluorite raw materials was 2733.33 yuan / ton, and the price trend of fluorite had a slight correction. Recently, some fluorite plants in China were generally started, and some mines and flotation plants in the plant were shut down. The fluorite supply in the plant was normal. However, the downstream market was stable in the near future, and the decline of fluorite price was limited. As of the 19th, the price of fluorite in Jiangxi was 2700-2800 yuan / ton, and that in Inner Mongolia was 2500-2600 yuan / ton. It is expected that the price of fluorite will remain high and stable in the future.

In the near future, the price of the downstream refrigerant industry is mainly stable, and the operating rate remains low. The demand for hydrofluoric acid is general. However, due to the normal supply on the site, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market is stable. As of the 19th, the quotation of hydrofluoric acid market is 10622.22 yuan / ton. In the near future, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market is stable, and the operating rate of domestic hydrofluoric acid is less than 60% Fluoric acid spot supply is normal. Recently, the market of goods on the floor is general. The ex factory price of some enterprises is stable. Up to now, the mainstream of hydrofluoric acid negotiation is 10000-11000 yuan / ton. However, people on the floor reflect that the hydrofluoric acid market may have a downward trend in the near future. Business analyst Chen Ling thinks that the market of hydrofluoric acid may fall slightly.

The price trend of aluminum fluoride products is temporarily stable, the market supply is normal, and the trading market is general. The quotation of aluminum fluoride of Zhengzhou Zerun energy and Chemical Co., Ltd. is 9000 yuan / ton. The overall market supply of aluminum fluoride is sufficient, and the overall price trend of aluminum fluoride market is stable.

In recent years, the price of trichloromethane in Shandong has been rising. The overall demand of the downstream market has not changed much. The demand for trichloromethane is general. With the demand procurement in the downstream market, the price of trichloromethane has risen slightly. At present, the domestic price of chloroform is 3950-4050 yuan / ton. On the one hand, there is a large demand for downstream refrigerants, and the shipment of chloroform is smooth, which is supported by the demand side; on the other hand, since late March, the price of raw material liquid chlorine has gone up, which is strongly supported by the cost side.

In recent years, the price trend of domestic cryolite is temporarily stable, the operation of the plant is stable, and the supply is normal. The domestic negotiation price is about 6500-7000 yuan / ton, and the actual transaction price is mainly negotiation. In general, the recent market of fluorine chemical industry is general, and it is expected that the trend of fluorine chemical industry will remain volatile in the later period.

In the near future, the price trend of downstream refrigerant R22 dropped slightly, the price of raw material trichloromethane rose, and the cost support was strong. In the near future, the downstream was mainly purchased on demand, the demand side changed little, and the market center remained high. As the price trend of hydrofluoric acid was stable, the price of some affected refrigerants fell slightly. Refrigerant R134a price trend has an upward trend, the market is strong operation. In the near future, the start-up in the downstream remained low, but the raw material support was strong, and the refrigerant market was temporarily stable.