1、 Price trend
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the aniline market remained strong and rose in November. On November 1st, the market price of aniline was 7995 yuan/ton, and on November 27th it was 8045 yuan/ton, with a rise of 0.63% during the period and a decrease of 12.77% compared to the same period last year.
2、 Analysis and Review
The aniline market turned from weak to strong in November, mainly supported by the cost and supply sides. At the beginning of the month, the price of raw material pure benzene slightly increased, and the production of raw material nitric acid in the main production areas was low. The price of nitric acid was tight and the price increased. The production of aniline enterprises for nitric acid extraction was restricted, and there was a possibility of negative pressure in the later stage. Under the boost from the raw material side, aniline factories collectively raised prices, resulting in active transactions and continuous price increases for aniline. In the middle of the month, the price of aniline stabilized after rising, and aniline companies had smooth shipments with little inventory pressure. At the end of the month, with tight supply and stable demand in the main production areas of East China, aniline continued to rise, and downstream purchases were made on demand, resulting in stable transactions.
Pure benzene: The pure benzene market fluctuated at a low level in November. The overall supply remains loose, with downstream essential purchases being the main focus. Some loss making varieties have reduced production to maintain prices, and overall demand support is limited. The pure benzene market has rebounded multiple times within the month, but due to demand constraints, the magnitude is limited. Under weak fundamentals, the pure benzene market is prone to decline but difficult to rise.
3、 Future expectations
At present, the supply side of the aniline market is strongly supported, the raw material pure benzene remains weak, and the demand side remains stable. Under the long short game, it is expected that the aniline market will operate strongly in the short term.
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