Monthly Archives: September 2021

In August, the trend of PE spot market was divided, with ups and downs

According to the data monitoring of business agency, the average ex factory price of LLDPE (7042) in East China was 8250.00 yuan / ton on August 1 and 8283.33 yuan / ton on August 31. The increase rate in August was 0.40%, an increase of 11.94% compared with the same period last year.

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According to the data monitoring of business agency, the average ex factory price of LDPE (2426h) in East China was 10600.00 yuan / ton on August 1 and 11325.00 yuan / ton on August 31. The increase rate in August was 6.84%, an increase of 19.21% compared with the same period last year.

According to the data monitoring of business agency, the average ex factory price of HDPE (5000S) in East China was 9133.33 yuan / ton on August 1 and 8750.00 yuan / ton on August 31. The decline rate in August was 4.20%, an increase of 4.17% compared with the same period last year.

In August, the trend of the three PE spot varieties was differentiated. On the whole, LDPE rose significantly in August, LLDPE changed little, HDPE continued to decline, and the spot market was different. August is divided into the first half of the month and the second half of the month. LLDPE East China market rose in the first half of the month and fell in the second half of the month. It was greatly affected by Liansu futures during the month. Although the overall focus moved upward, it was not much compared with the beginning of the month. LDPE East China market adjusted sideways in the first half of the month and rose in the second half of the month, mainly due to tight market supply, obvious market speculation atmosphere and sharp price rise. Due to high supply pressure, insufficient follow-up of downstream demand and contradiction between market supply and demand, HDPE fell unchanged in August, decreased significantly in the first half of the month and continued to be weak in the second half of the month.

In the upstream ethylene market, the external ethylene market first rose sharply in August, rose to a high level and then continued to decline. At the end of the month, it fell to the same price as that at the beginning of the month, and then fluctuated and consolidated, with the highest price of US $1153 / T. Ethylene market prices in Asia continued to rise. As of the 27th, CFR Northeast Asia closed at US $961-971 / ton and CFR Southeast Asia closed at US $956-966 / ton. European ethylene market prices fluctuated and consolidated. As of the 27th, FD northwest Europe closed at US $1184-1195 / ton and CIF northwest Europe closed at US $1130-1138 / ton. The price of ethylene in the United States fluctuated and rose. As of the 27th, the price was 828-846 US dollars / ton. In August, the external ethylene market should be said to be stable after fluctuation, and the price generally returned to the beginning of the month. On August 29, hurricane IDA made landfall along the coast of Louisiana. Affected by this, some chemical plants were shut down or operated at low load, and the supply of ethylene in the United States is expected to be in short supply.

Liansu futures fell in August, bringing bad news to the spot market. On August 31, the opening price of polyethylene futures 2201 was 8190, the highest price was 8205, the lowest price was 8020, the closing price was 8035, the former settlement price was 8185, the settlement price was 8100, down 150, down 1.83%, the trading volume was 414135, the position was 300917, and the daily position was increased by 33676( Quotation unit: yuan / ton)

Due to the rapid rise of high-pressure prices in the early stage, the downstream has limited ability to accept high prices, has a cautious attitude, and the market transaction atmosphere is poor. At the end of the month, there was a correction in the price of polyethylene. In the future, in September, agricultural film ushered in the peak demand season, and the demand is expected to increase. However, in terms of supply, the overall supply pressure of the market is large. In general, it is expected that the PE spot market will fall first and then rise in September.

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