1、 Price trend
According to the price monitoring of the business agency, on January 1, the average price of mainstream manufacturers was 17333.33 yuan / ton, and on January 15, the average price was 18166.67 yuan / ton, up 4.87% in half a month. On January 14, the R22 commodity index was 109.00, up 2 points from yesterday, a record high in the cycle, up 30.70% from 83.40, the lowest point on October 14, 2019. (Note: cycle refers to 2019-09-01 till now)
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2、 Market analysis
Product: R22 price in refrigerant market rose in January. At present, the market of hydrofluoric acid and chloroform at the end of raw materials is relatively stable, and some regions form support for refrigerant R22 according to their own adjustment; the terminal air conditioning industry maintains rigid demand, the delivery and investment is flat, and the business confidence is insufficient. At present, the supply of refrigerant R22 in the market is limited, which is good for the price of refrigerant R22. As of January 15, the average price of refrigerant R22 is around 18166.67 yuan / ton, and the quotation is mainly about 17500 yuan / ton – 18500 yuan / ton, with refrigerant R22 at a high level.
Industry chain: the price trend of domestic hydrofluoric acid and hydrofluoric acid of upstream products this month is temporarily stable. In the near future, the situation of on-site manufacturers is general, and on-site spot supply is normal. At present, domestic trichloromethane of upstream products is in the traditional off-season, and the inventory of enterprises is low, but it still cannot prevent the weak price of trichloromethane. The terminal air conditioner manufacturer starts at a low level, with general demand.
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Industry: according to the price monitoring of the business agency, there are 9 kinds of commodities in the list of rise and fall of bulk commodity prices on January 14, 2020, among which the top three commodities are acetone (4.08%), R22 (1.87%) and polyformaldehyde (1.86%). There are 14 kinds of commodities with a decline in the month on month, and the top three products are propane (- 2.50%), ammonium chloride (- 1.56%) and mixed xylene (- 1.22%). The average rise and fall of this day is 0.01%.
3、 Future forecast
According to the refrigerant analyst of the business club, at present, the supply of refrigerant R22 is still tight, and the enterprise’s orders are limited. Near the end of the year, the logistics is shut down one after another, and the factory is off in advance. It is expected that the trend of refrigerant R22 will be consolidated in the short term.
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