1、 Price trend

 

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As of August 3, the average price of refrigerant R22 was 1666.67 yuan / ton, up 3.09% compared with the previous day, 4.17% higher than the previous day, and 5.3% lower than that of the same period last year, according to the monitoring of bulk data of business agency.

 

As of August 3, the average price of refrigerant R134a was 16500 yuan / ton, down 4.41% from the previous day, 6.6% month on month, and 41.42% lower than the same period last year.

 

2、 Market analysis

 

In August, the refrigerant market remained sluggish. The market trend of hydrofluoric acid at the raw material end is mainly stable. Some manufacturers reflect that hydrofluoric acid exists in the cracks and is in a state of price and no market. The hydrofluoric acid trading market is general, and the chloroform market is stable and weak. The cost of refrigerants is not enough to support the market In a weak position, R134a continued to fall, while R22 rose against the trend, with serious two-level differentiation.

 

R22, the market has changed from decadent, the price has risen strongly. Due to the quota factor, the manufacturers are determined to support the price. However, the downstream receiving capacity is limited, and there is a lot of wait-and-see mood. The actual transaction center of gravity is shifted downward. Some traders are looking for positive shipment, and the quotation is slightly lower than the manufacturer’s ex factory price, and there is a phenomenon of cost inversion. According to the price monitoring of the business agency, as of August 3, the prices of mainstream manufacturers in R22 market were 16000-16500 yuan / ton, with an increase of about 500 yuan.

 

R134a, the market continued to decline, has now fallen to the bottom, the car market industry continues to be depressed, weak demand, market trading center of gravity down, trading atmosphere is light. There are plenty of goods in the market, and there are new production capacity entering the market in the future market. The competition is fierce, and the supply side gradually forms a negative situation, and the price keeps falling. According to the price monitoring of the business agency, as of August 3, the prices of the mainstream manufacturers in the refrigerant R134a market were around 15000-17000 yuan / ton, and the actual transaction price was about 15000 yuan / ton, and the price was slightly reduced.

 

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Hydrofluoric acid: on August 3, the mainstream price of domestic anhydrous hydrofluoric acid manufacturers was 8500-9000 yuan / ton. The ex factory price of domestic manufacturers was temporarily stable. The operating rate of domestic hydrofluoric acid manufacturers was general, and the supply of on-site goods was normal, which was driven by the rising price of fluorite. However, the demand of downstream refrigerant industry was not good, and on-site procurement was mainly based on demand. It is expected that the price trend in the future will be stable.

 

In July, the market of chloroform in Shandong was stable and weak. At the beginning of the month, the average price of chloroform in Shandong remained at about 2000 yuan / ton. Near the end of the month, the average price of chloroform dropped to 1900 yuan / ton, a decrease of 5% compared with the beginning of the month. Analysts of CH4 chloride data from business society believe that the current spot supply of chloroform market is increasing with the operating rate of enterprises, while the downstream refrigerant market is approaching the off-season, and the market demand will further decline. Under the high production cost of enterprises, it is expected that the chloroform market will remain weak and stable in a short time.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

According to the refrigerant analysts of business agency, at present, the cost side support is not strong enough, the demand is weak, and the refrigerant market continues to be weak. Due to quota factors, R22 prices rise again, but the demand is poor, and it is expected that there will be a deadlock in the short term. However, R134a is surrounded by bad news, and it is expected that the price will go down more likely, but the price is already at a low level and there is not much room for decline.

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