Raw silk prices continue to fluctuate, forecast to continue to be the main behavior

As of July 20, the average price of raw silk was 422000 yuan / ton, up 23000 yuan / ton or 5.76% from three months ago. There was a slight decline in raw silk last week, with a decline of 0.36%. Compared with the price of raw silk in five years, the price in 2018 was significantly higher than that in the other four years, the price in 21 years showed an overall upward trend, and the price after April was higher than that in the other three years.

In Henan, Luoyang optimizes the development mode of silkworm industry, lengthens the industrial chain and promotes the value chain. Luoyang is one of the Oriental starting points of the silk road. Its unique ecological environment is very suitable for silkworm cultivation. It has a long history of mulberry cultivation and silk industry development in Luoyang. In recent years, the counties and districts represented by Song County have successively issued special support policies, introduced leading enterprises, planned from a high starting point and built silkworm industry with high standards, and waded a happy road of “gold” silkworm and “silver” mulberry. In addition, relying on the acquisition station of Baise sericulture farm, the silkworm breeding cocoon industry in Lingyun County of Guangxi has realized the “win-win” of industrial development, cooperative efficiency, village collective economy increase and farmers’ income increase. At present, the planting area of mulberry garden in Lantai village is more than 800 mu, and there are more than 89 sericulture households. In the whole year, there are more than 600 sericulture households, with an annual output of 67200 Jin of fresh cocoons and an output value of 2352000 yuan, which injects industrial power into rural revitalization and development. There are 6382 sericulture farmers in Lingyun county. This year, more than 10000 spring silkworms will be planted in the county. In order to ensure the orderly and steady progress of sericulture in 2021, all levels and departments of the county continuously increase publicity and technical training, actively guide farmers to grasp the management of mulberry garden, and do a good job in the early stage of irrigation, fertilization, weeding and replanting.

Business analysts believe that raw silk prices continue to rise. Since 2021 / 7 / 11, the 7-day moving average has undercrossed the 30 day moving average and started the downward trend. At present, the two moving average are going downward in the same direction. According to the calculation of 2021 / 7 / 18, the probability of changing the operation situation in the next 7 days (that is, the 7-day moving average crosses the 30 day moving average) is 44.05%.

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