The price of ammonium chloride continued to rise sharply

According to the data monitoring of the business agency, the market situation of ammonium chloride rose sharply in July. The price at the beginning of the month was around 830 yuan / ton and the price at the end of the month was around 1075 yuan / ton, an overall increase of 29.52%.

In July, the overall operating rate of ammonium chloride enterprises was around 60%, which was significantly lower than that in June. The manufacturer’s inventory was low, there was no pressure on shipment, and the offer was gradually increased; In July, the overall operating rate of downstream compound fertilizer continued to maintain around 30 ~ 40%, and the support for ammonium chloride was weak. According to the business agency, as of July 31, 2021, the 3.3 million ton agricultural ammonium chloride plant in Jinshan, Henan Province, Jindadi plant was in normal operation, and the construction of Jinshan and Jintian plants was 40-50%. At present, the factory price of agricultural ammonium chloride in dry ammonium province is 1150 yuan / ton, and the factory price of wet ammonium province is 1100 yuan / ton.

The sharp rise of raw liquid ammonia and the high consolidation of urea market have formed strong support for ammonium chloride. According to the monitoring of business agency, as of July 31, the price of domestic liquid ammonia was 4883 yuan / ton, an overall increase of 10.15% over the price of 4433 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month; As of July 31, the domestic urea price was 2830 yuan / ton, an overall increase of 1.07% over the price of 2800 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month.

Future forecast: the ammonium chloride analyst of business society believes that although the operation of combined alkali is low, the cost support of ammonium chloride is strong, and it is expected that ammonium chloride will remain strong in the short term; However, in the medium term, with the end of the peak season of agricultural demand, the price of agricultural materials will fall to a certain extent, and the price of ammonium chloride may fall to a certain extent in the later stage.

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