1. Trade name: standard aluminum ingot (99.70)

 

2. Latest price (November 21, 2019): 14110 yuan / ton

 

3. Key points of analysis: the heating season starts, and the policy requires real-time monitoring of air quality to achieve flexible production, which to a certain extent affects the production reduction of electrolytic aluminum.

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(1) raw aluminum production data list

 

According to data released by the International Aluminum Industry Association (IAI), global raw aluminum production increased to 5.392 million tons in October, and revised to 5.222 million tons in September. China’s crude aluminum production is expected to increase to 3.014 million tons in October, compared with 2.917 million tons in September.

 

(2) list of raw aluminum demand data

 

According to a report released by the world Bureau of Metal Statistics (WBMs) on Wednesday, the global raw aluminum market was short of 530000 tons from January to September 2019.

 

(3) list of import and export data of aluminum industry chain

 

According to the website data of the National Bureau of statistics, the aluminum output in October was 4.558 million tons, up 6.6% year on year; the total output from January to October was 42.409 million tons, up 5.7% year on year.

 

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The output of aluminum alloy in October was 813000 tons, up 1.5% year on year; the total output from January to October was 7.481 million tons, down 7.3% year on year.

 

The output of alumina in October was 5.968 million tons, up 3.6% year on year; the total output from January to October was 60.772 million tons, up 4.4% year on year.

 

4. Future forecast

 

At present, the aluminum ingot Market is relatively stable, and it is expected to be mainly operated in the first line of 14000 shocks in the near future.

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